Jordan vs Argentina
World Cup · Sunday, June 28, 2026
2:00 AM UTC
Kickoff in 6 days
MODEL CONSENSUS
0
pick Jordan
0
pick Draw
4
pick Argentina
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
Argentina 82%
Jordan6%
Draw13%
Argentina82%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Jordan6%
Draw13%
Argentina82%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Jordan5%
Draw12%
Argentina83%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Jordan5%
Draw12%
Argentina83%
Grok 3Most divergent
The Contrarian
Jordan7%
Draw14%
Argentina79%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Jordan5%
Draw12%
Argentina83%
Predicted scoreline
0-20-2
15.2%
0-3
13.2%
0-1
11.0%
0-4
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2Grok 3 0-2
Goal expectancy 3.11 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Jordan listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
Want Deeper Analysis?
Get predictions before each match with full divergence analysis, model fingerprint insights, and real-time updates.