Tournament bracket

World Cup 2026 — 35 of 104 matches complete

Tournament progress34%

Ensemble Accuracy

60% correct

Brier Score

0.568

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Predicted bracket

Pre-tournament forecast from 5 AI models.

Full tracker →

Predicted tournament path

Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Predicted champion

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

England

9.9% to win

🏆

vs predicted runner-up 🇦🇷 Argentina (8.9%)

Final

2 teams

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.9%

🇦🇷ARG8.9%

Semi Finals

4 teams

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.9%

🇦🇷ARG8.9%

🇵🇹POR7.5%

🇳🇱NED6.5%

Quarter Finals

8 teams

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.9%

🇦🇷ARG8.9%

🇵🇹POR7.5%

🇳🇱NED6.5%

🇩🇪GER6.4%

🇪🇸ESP6.3%

🇫🇷FRA5.4%

🇨🇴COL4.0%

Round of 16

16 teams

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.9%

🇦🇷ARG8.9%

🇵🇹POR7.5%

🇳🇱NED6.5%

🇩🇪GER6.4%

🇪🇸ESP6.3%

🇫🇷FRA5.4%

🇨🇴COL4.0%

🇧🇷BRA3.9%

🇺🇾URU2.6%

🇭🇷CRO2.5%

🇨🇭SUI2.3%

🏴NOR2.0%

🇧🇪BEL1.8%

🏴AUT1.8%

🏴ECU1.6%

Round of 32

32 teams

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿ENG9.9%

🇦🇷ARG8.9%

🇵🇹POR7.5%

🇳🇱NED6.5%

🇩🇪GER6.4%

🇪🇸ESP6.3%

🇫🇷FRA5.4%

🇨🇴COL4.0%

🇧🇷BRA3.9%

🇺🇾URU2.6%

🇭🇷CRO2.5%

🇨🇭SUI2.3%

🏴NOR2.0%

🇧🇪BEL1.8%

🏴AUT1.8%

🏴ECU1.6%

🇲🇽MEX1.5%

🏴ALG1.5%

🇯🇵JPN1.5%

🇸🇳SEN1.4%

🇲🇦MAR1.4%

🏴TUR1.3%

🇨🇦CAN1.3%

🏴IRN1.2%

🇰🇷KOR1.1%

🇺🇸USA1.0%

🏴PAR1.0%

🏴CIV0.9%

🇦🇺AUS0.9%

🏴EGY0.9%

🏴SWE0.9%

🏴CZE0.8%

Compare by model:

Group stage

Group A

4/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
Mexico	2	+3	6
South Korea	2	0	3
Czechia	2	-1	1
South Africa	2	-2	1

Matches

Mexico vs South Africa2-0 South Korea vs Czechia2-1 Czechia vs South Africa1-1

+3 more

Group B

4/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
Canada	2	+6	4
Switzerland	2	+3	4
Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	-3	1
Qatar	2	-6	1

Matches

Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina1-1 Qatar vs Switzerland1-1 Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina4-1

+3 more

Group C

4/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
Brazil	2	+3	4
Morocco	2	+1	4
Scotland	2	0	3
Haiti	2	-4	0

Matches

Brazil vs Morocco1-1 Haiti vs Scotland0-1 Scotland vs Morocco0-1

+3 more

Group D

4/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
USA	2	+5	6
Australia	2	0	3
Paraguay	2	-2	3
Turkiye	2	-3	0

Matches

USA vs Paraguay4-1 Australia vs Turkiye2-0 USA vs Australia2-0

+3 more

Group E

4/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
Germany	2	+7	6
Ivory Coast	2	0	3
Ecuador	2	-1	1
Curacao	2	-6	1

Matches

Germany vs Curacao7-1 Ivory Coast vs Ecuador1-0 Germany vs Ivory Coast2-1

+3 more

Group F

3/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
Netherlands	2	+4	4
Sweden	2	0	3
Japan	1	0	1
Tunisia	1	-4	0

Matches

Netherlands vs Japan2-2 Sweden vs Tunisia5-1 Netherlands vs Sweden5-1

+3 more

Group G

2/6 played

Team	P	Pts
Iran	1	1
New Zealand	1	1
Belgium	1	1
Egypt	1	1

Matches

Belgium vs Egypt1-1 Iran vs New Zealand2-2 Belgium vs Iran23:00

+3 more

Group H

2/6 played

Team	P	Pts
Saudi Arabia	1	1
Uruguay	1	1
Spain	1	1
Cape Verde	1	1

Matches

Spain vs Cape Verde0-0 Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay1-1 Spain vs Saudi Arabia17:00

+3 more

Group I

2/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
Norway	1	+3	3
France	1	+2	3
Senegal	1	-2	0
Iraq	1	-3	0

Matches

France vs Senegal3-1 Iraq vs Norway1-4 France vs Iraq22:00

+3 more

Group J

2/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
Argentina	1	+3	3
Austria	1	+2	3
Jordan	1	-2	0
Algeria	1	-3	0

Matches

Argentina vs Algeria3-0 Austria vs Jordan3-1 Argentina vs Austria19:00

+3 more

Group K

2/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
Colombia	1	+2	3
Portugal	1	0	1
DR Congo	1	0	1
Uzbekistan	1	-2	0

Matches

Portugal vs DR Congo1-1 Uzbekistan vs Colombia1-3 Portugal vs Uzbekistan19:00

+3 more

Group L

2/6 played

Team	P	GD	Pts
England	1	+2	3
Ghana	1	+1	3
Panama	1	-1	0
Croatia	1	-2	0

Matches

England vs Croatia4-2 Ghana vs Panama1-0 England vs Ghana21:00

+3 more

Knockout stage

Brackets unlock as group winners are confirmed. Round of 32 begins June 28, 2026. Until then see the predicted bracket above for our pre-tournament forecast.

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