New Zealand vs Belgium
World Cup · Saturday, June 27, 2026
3:00 AM UTC
Kickoff in 5 days
MODEL CONSENSUS
0
pick New Zealand
0
pick Draw
4
pick Belgium
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
Belgium 77%
New Zealand8%
Draw16%
Belgium77%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
New Zealand8%
Draw16%
Belgium77%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
New Zealand9%
Draw17%
Belgium74%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
New Zealand7%
Draw15%
Belgium78%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
New Zealand9%
Draw16%
Belgium75%
Gemini 3.1 ProMost divergent
The Generalist
New Zealand6%
Draw14%
Belgium80%
Predicted scoreline
0-20-2
14.2%
0-3
11.5%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
8.6%
1-1
7.8%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2Grok 3 0-2
Goal expectancy 3.04 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. New Zealand listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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