Norway vs France
World Cup · Friday, June 26, 2026
7:00 PM UTC
Kickoff in 5 days
MODEL CONSENSUS
0
pick Norway
0
pick Draw
4
pick France
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
France 55%
Norway21%
Draw25%
France55%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Norway21%
Draw25%
France55%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Gemini 3.1 Pro
The Generalist
Norway18%
Draw24%
France58%
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Norway20%
Draw24%
France56%
Grok 3Most divergent
The Contrarian
Norway24%
Draw26%
France50%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Norway21%
Draw24%
France55%
Predicted scoreline
0-11-1
12.3%
0-1
10.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 1-2
Goal expectancy 2.75 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Norway listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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