MBModelBall

Paraguay vs Australia

World Cup · Friday, June 26, 2026

2:00 AM UTC

Kickoff in 4 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

2
pick Paraguay
2
pick Draw
0
pick Australia

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
Draw 37%
Paraguay37%
Draw37%
Australia26%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Paraguay37%
Draw37%
Australia26%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

Grok 3

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
Paraguay37%
Draw38%
Australia25%

GPT-5.4Most divergent

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
Paraguay36%
Draw35%
Australia29%

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
Paraguay38%
Draw38%
Australia24%

Claude Sonnet 4.6

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
Paraguay36%
Draw38%
Australia26%

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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