MBModelBall

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast

World Cup · Thursday, June 25, 2026

8:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 4 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick Curaçao
0
pick Draw
4
pick Ivory Coast

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
Ivory Coast 82%
Curaçao5%
Draw13%
Ivory Coast82%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Curaçao5%
Draw13%
Ivory Coast82%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
Curaçao5%
Draw13%
Ivory Coast82%

Claude Sonnet 4.6

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
Curaçao5%
Draw13%
Ivory Coast82%

Grok 3Most divergent

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
Curaçao6%
Draw12%
Ivory Coast82%

Gemini 3.1 Pro

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
Curaçao5%
Draw12%
Ivory Coast83%

Predicted scoreline

0-2
0-2
13.6%
0-3
12.6%
0-1
9.3%
0-4
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2Grok 3 0-2

Goal expectancy 3.34 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Curaçao listed first.

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

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