Czech Republic vs Mexico
World Cup · Thursday, June 25, 2026
1:00 AM UTC
Kickoff in 3 days
MODEL CONSENSUS
0
pick Czech Republic
0
pick Draw
4
pick Mexico
All Six Predictions
The Edge ★
Fingerprint-weighted ensemble
Favored outcome
Mexico 44%
Czech Republic28%
Draw28%
Mexico44%
Model Weights
Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%
Naive Average
Equal-weight baseline
Czech Republic28%
Draw28%
Mexico44%
INDIVIDUAL MODELS
Claude Sonnet 4.6
The Analyst
Czech Republic27%
Draw26%
Mexico47%
Grok 3
The Contrarian
Czech Republic30%
Draw27%
Mexico43%
Gemini 3.1 ProMost divergent
The Generalist
Czech Republic30%
Draw30%
Mexico40%
GPT-5.4
The Market Baseline
Czech Republic27%
Draw28%
Mexico45%
Predicted scoreline
0-11-1
13.8%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-1Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-1GPT-5.4 0-1Grok 3 0-1
Goal expectancy 2.45 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Czech Republic listed first.
Ensemble Logic
Standard Context
No special conditions detected
Weights:
Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%
Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted
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