MBModelBall

Scotland vs Brazil

World Cup · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

10:00 PM UTC

Kickoff in 3 days

MODEL CONSENSUS

0
pick Scotland
0
pick Draw
4
pick Brazil

All Six Predictions

The Edge ★

Fingerprint-weighted ensemble

Favored outcome
Brazil 70%
Scotland11%
Draw19%
Brazil70%

Model Weights

Grok 3: 25%GPT-5.4: 25%Claude Sonnet 4.6: 25%Gemini 3.1 Pro: 25%

Naive Average

Equal-weight baseline

Scotland11%
Draw19%
Brazil70%

INDIVIDUAL MODELS

Gemini 3.1 ProMost divergent

The Generalist

Fingerprint →
Scotland9%
Draw18%
Brazil73%

GPT-5.4

The Market Baseline

Fingerprint →
Scotland11%
Draw19%
Brazil70%

Claude Sonnet 4.6

The Analyst

Fingerprint →
Scotland11%
Draw20%
Brazil69%

Grok 3

The Contrarian

Fingerprint →
Scotland13%
Draw20%
Brazil67%

Predicted scoreline

0-2
0-2
13.6%
0-1
12.0%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
Each model's scoreline pick
Claude Sonnet 4.6 0-2Gemini 3.1 Pro 0-2GPT-5.4 0-2Grok 3 0-2

Goal expectancy 2.79 per match from betting-market totals; split fitted to the calibrated probabilities shown above with a Dixon–Coles low-score correction. Scotland listed first.

Ensemble Logic

Standard Context

No special conditions detected

Weights:

Grok 25% · GPT 25% · Claude 25% · Gemini 25%

Active: All PCM dimensions equally weighted

Want Deeper Analysis?

Get predictions before each match with full divergence analysis, model fingerprint insights, and real-time updates.